+EV Bets

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Betcha bets priced better than the sharp market, sized to your bankroll, and a record of how yours are going. New here? You need an access code to create an account.

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Suggestions come from a model comparing Betcha's prices with other bookmakers. They are not financial advice, and you can lose money even when the edge is real. Bet only what you can afford to lose.

Bets to make

Betcha prices that beat the fair price right now, checked every few minutes. Stake = ½ Kelly on your cash at Betcha (adjusted for how reliable each type of bet has been), rounded down to $50 / $20 / $10 / $5 / $2 / $1. "Take at" = the lowest Betcha price still worth it: if Betcha has cut the price below that, skip it.

BetCategoryKickoffBetchaTake atEdgeStake

Actual vs expected profit

Cumulative, settled bets in kickoff order. Expected = stake × edge at the odds you took. Shaded = 90% range: where actual profit lands 9 times in 10 if the edge is real.

By category

Wins vs what the model expected (sum of win chances).

CategoryBetsW-L-PWins / exp.StakedP/LExp. P/L

Bets

PlacedBetCategoryStakeOddsFairEdgeKickoffResultP/LExp.

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